Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 105.769269 117.369905 129.335368 142.572198 156.777932 171.538891 188.009105
2024-10-20 84.044664 100.688643 118.791347 139.825738 163.474828 189.125280 218.930311
2024-10-27 68.258212 88.082268 110.758529 138.321509 170.617094 206.963665 250.656218
2024-11-03 59.046891 81.576341 108.544745 142.639250 184.010588 232.013205 291.320977
2024-11-10 51.096443 75.399666 105.771498 145.584374 195.436033 254.847473 330.003540
2024-11-17 44.981278 70.638847 104.011255 149.212540 207.403211 278.378976 369.986357
2024-11-24 40.297944 67.101233 103.278120 153.747285 220.333431 303.202439 412.018038
2024-12-01 33.134282 59.131631 95.763205 148.607276 220.252189 311.400454 433.327529
2024-12-08 28.058800 53.499764 90.822379 146.335747 223.456279 323.488165 459.469514
2024-12-15 24.741762 50.102216 88.672101 147.593540 231.176571 341.378201 493.211102
2024-12-22 22.136080 47.485059 87.368621 149.816047 240.095571 360.882533 529.295014
2024-12-29 20.650337 46.543541 88.469234 155.469045 253.842808 387.028034 574.511311
2025-01-05 18.711517 44.631628 87.982221 158.845788 264.671114 409.794307 616.191055
2025-01-12 16.101203 41.127793 84.625497 157.627963 268.785744 423.453144 645.975725
2025-01-19 13.933121 38.127739 81.805831 156.998753 273.623509 438.126519 677.352979
2025-01-26 12.967883 37.395536 82.763579 162.336563 287.414126 465.573837 726.646314
2025-02-02 11.839868 36.146495 82.683457 165.927472 298.608606 489.517813 771.475041
2025-02-09 10.914245 35.188164 83.011560 170.128112 310.761099 514.976337 818.726791
2025-02-16 10.188954 34.571705 83.894902 175.242412 324.404327 542.785743 869.654317
2025-02-23 8.322363 30.889993 78.664739 169.650784 321.085306 545.811876 885.661230
2025-03-02 7.037011 28.365830 75.397006 167.186346 322.494596 555.645288 911.325010
2025-03-09 6.265405 27.039349 74.383584 168.596301 330.075119 574.671942 950.334988
2025-03-16 5.663301 26.062212 73.989610 171.059930 339.376383 596.376717 993.455429